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Scenario Development
 
“When done well, scenario planning can help organizations prepare for a variety of contingencies by getting managers to carefully examine the forces affecting their businesses, question their hidden assumptions and develop an array of strategic options…”
Human Resource Institute – Trend Watcher
 
 
What are scenarios?
 
A scenario must be a cohesive story - just like a novel or short story - with believeable characters, and a good plot that follows a plausible chain of events. Most important, the scenario must challenge the reader's assumptions and ardently test their current thinking and strategies. This is because scenarios, unlike great novels, need to lead us to successful applications of strategy, technology, and deployment of people, money and material. The best scenarios reveal a systems view, delineating relationships and causality. They demonstrate why things are the way they are, and what may be some unintended consequences of current actions.
 
What do scenarios provide?
 
An integrated set of scenarios helps you make sense of how key future drivers or trends might interact, what that means to your company strategy, competitiveness, business paradigms and organisational arrangements. They help you understand what might change and what will not.  They help you and your company prepare for the inevitable and stay relevant in times of fast paced change. Scenarios help you understand how you might address and solve key strategic issues and remain ahead of your competitors.
 
Ripple Effect can assist you and your company as part of your future proofing strategy or as a stand alone process develop a series of plausible scenarios aimed at helping you make sense of the trend data you may be collecting and provide you with valuable insight into the next stage of change and growth your company may choose to pursue.

For more information on how to develop a series of future scenarios for your organisation Contact Us.
 
     
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